Modeling Zimbabwe’s Sexual Transmitted Infections Prevalence 2008-2022 (Parirenyatwa Hospital) · Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Author: Chikodza, Benardette. L
Title: Modeling Zimbabwe’s Sexual Transmitted Infections Prevalence 2008-2022 (Parirenyatwa Hospital)
Abstract: Inthisstudy,weassessedwhetherapersonwillgetsexuallytransmittedillnesses
(STI)forthosewhounderwenttestingatParirenyatwahospitalusingfactorssuchas
age,maritalstatus,andplaceofresidence.
Themainobjectivesweretoidentifyasuitablemodeltopredicttheprevalenceof
STI’satParirenyatwaHospital,PredictingSTIstatusbyresidence,HIVstatusand
maritalstatusandtoidentifyfactorsthatinfluencetheprevalenceofSTI.Toidentify
factorsthatareimportantenoughtodeterminewhetherapersoncoulddevelopSTI
ornot,weusedalogisticregressionmodel.Themodel'sperformancewasevaluated
usingvariousmetrics,includingaccuracy,precision,recall,F1-score,andAUC-ROC
score.Visualizations such as,ROC curves and precision-recallcurves were
performedsoastoassessthemodel'sperformance.Themodelshowedthatthose
whoaremarriedandthosewhoareincommittedrelationshipshavelowchancesof
contractingSTIscomparedtothosewhoaresingleandseparated.TheF1scorewas
usedtomeasuretheoverallaccuracyofthemodel,whiletheconfusionmatrixwas
used to evaluatetheaccuracyofthemodelatpredicting truepositives,true
negatives,falsepositives,andfalsenegatives.
InconclusionwehaveseenthatthosewhoareHIVnegativeandmaritalstatus
(singleornotcommittedinarelationship)significantlyincreasedthelikelihoodof
havingaSTIinbothmalesandfemales.Largenumbersofthosewhowereaffected
arefrom ruralareasreasonbeingtheyareignoranttoSTIeducativeteachingsand
theyhavenoaccessestocondomsendinguphavingunprotectedsex.
MinistryofHealthandChildCareshouldestablishmoreSTIscreeningcentersin
mostruralareas.Thereshouldbepeereducatorsatthesecenterswhodistribute
riskfactorknowledge.
Date: 2023
Publisher: BUSE
Keywords: Prevalence; Sexual Transmitted Infections
Supervisor: N/A

Item sets: Department of Statistics and Mathematics

Media: Statistics & Maths Chikodza B..pdf