Statistical analysis of prevalence of diabetes in Zimbabwe

Author

Mutuda, Bybit P.

Title

Statistical analysis of prevalence of diabetes in Zimbabwe

Abstract

Zimbabwe is facing a growing public health challenge due to the increasing prevalence and incidence of diabetes. Diabetes is one of the leading causes of death and complications, such as morbidity. The aim of this study was to conduct a comprehensive statistical analysis of prevalence of diabetes in Zimbabwe focusing on understanding the prevalence and risk factors of the disease. A study utilized historical data from medical records of 768 diabetic patients obtained from Chitungwiza Central Hospital in Zimbabwe. Collected data was for the period 2014 to 2018. This study employed a cross-sectional research design. The collected data was analysed to examine the prevalence of diabetes across different age groups and gender, to identify significant predictors of diabetes and quantify their respective impact. Furthermore, descriptive, inferential, correlation and logistic regression analyses were conducted, and the results presented in tables and graphs. According to the study, age, blood sugar, and BMI were the main indicators of diabetes in adult Zimbabweans. Through the use of a confusion matrix, the accuracy of the model was determined to be 76.3% and AUC curve indicated 82% accuracy. This study provides valuable insights into the statistical trends and relationships of diabetes in Zimbabwe. The study highlighted the importance of monitoring and controlling key risk factors to mitigate the growing burden of diabetes in Zimbabwe. This research recommended that healthcare providers should prioritize regular monitoring of blood sugar, BMI, and age to identify high-risk patients. Additionally, patients with diabetes should adhere to treatment plans and attend regular follow-up appointments to manage their condition effectively. Furthermore, the government should develop and implement a comprehensive national strategy with specific goals, timelines, and measurable indicators involving key stakeholders such as healthcare professionals, NGOs and patients with diabetes to address diabetes prevention, management, and control.

Date

2024

Publisher

BUSE

Keywords

Statistical analysis

Prevalence of diabetes

Chitungwiza Central hospital

Supervisor

Miss. J. C. Pagan’a